28aa16226a
- reflect: enforce-before-adding pattern gate, proactive synthesis step, improvements.md triage, debrief must list every file modified - housekeeping: domain INDEX.md rebuild step, briefing bridge SSOT rule and richer section format with compression rules - foresight: cruising velocity classification, non-obvious rule, anti-patterns section, scenario candidate format in nudge output, thread current-state in memory reads - scenario: full rewrite with body template (Decision Point, Dependencies, Branches, Timeline Overlay, Contingency Map, Retrospective), anti-patterns, trigger threshold, related-threads frontmatter - evolve: route content issues step, scorecard generation, architecture-only constraint on Next Run Priorities - history: simple vs deep triage note - CLAUDE.md: structured action items format, briefing-bridge and foresight-nudge in file edit table Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
110 lines
5.0 KiB
Markdown
110 lines
5.0 KiB
Markdown
Use this skill for strategic foresight — connecting dots across domains and surfacing one high-value nudge. Trigger if the user says "foresight", "what should I be thinking about", "what am I missing", "strategic nudge", "connect the dots", or similar forward-looking synthesis requests.
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**This is NOT /reflect.** Reflect = past-facing (mines interactions, fixes contradictions). Foresight = future-facing (scans broadly, projects trajectories, surfaces opportunities).
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**This is NOT /evolve.** Evolve = system architecture. Foresight = life/work strategy.
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## Domain
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Cross-domain strategic synthesis — personal, work, projects, health, family. The value is in the connections *between* domains.
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## Memory Files
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Read broadly — this is a scan, not a focused lookup:
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1. Read `memory/domains.yml` to discover all active domains
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2. For each domain, read `hot-memory.md` and `action-items.md` (if they exist)
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3. Also read:
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- `memory/hot-memory.md` (cross-domain strategic context)
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- `memory/personal/entities.md` (upcoming birthdays, relationships)
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- `memory/personal/calendar.md` (what's coming up)
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- `memory/personal/health.md` (health trajectory)
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- `memory/cog-meta/briefing-bridge.md` (housekeeping findings)
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- Recent observations across all domains (last 7 days)
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- Thread current-state sections — what narratives are actively unfolding?
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## Process
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### 1. Cross-Domain Convergence Scan
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Look for topics, people, or themes appearing in 2+ domains simultaneously. These are convergence points — where effort in one area compounds into another.
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### 2. Velocity & Stall Detection
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Scan action-items across all domains. Classify each active item:
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- **Accelerating** — multiple updates in the last week, clear momentum. Signal: ride the wave, don't interrupt.
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- **Cruising** — steady progress, on track. Signal: nothing to flag.
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- **Stalling** — no movement in 2+ weeks despite not being deferred. Signal: ask why. Blocked? Lost priority?
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- **Dormant** — domain-level silence (0 observations in 4+ weeks). Signal: conscious choice or drift?
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Stalls and dormant domains are high-value nudge material — they represent things the user cares about but isn't acting on.
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### 3. Timing Awareness
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Read calendar and entities for upcoming events in the next 2-4 weeks. Look for timing windows — things that should start NOW to be ready later.
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### 4. Pattern Projection
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Read patterns and recent observations. Project forward: "If this continues for 2 more weeks, what happens?"
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**Scenario candidate detection**: If a pattern projection reveals a genuine fork — two meaningfully different paths with real stakes and a closing decision window — flag it as a scenario candidate below the main nudge. A valid candidate needs: a fork (2+ paths), stakes (wrong choice has real cost), and time sensitivity (window closing). Don't flag routine decisions or hypotheticals with no deadline.
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### 5. Write One Strategic Nudge
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Synthesize into **one nudge**. Not a list. One thing.
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The nudge must:
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- **Cite at least 2 source files**
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- **Be something the user hasn't explicitly asked about**
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- **Be actionable** — not "think about X" but "do Y because of X and Z"
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- **Connect dots**
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Write to `memory/cog-meta/foresight-nudge.md`:
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```markdown
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# Foresight Nudge
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<!-- Auto-generated by strategic foresight. -->
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<!-- Last updated: YYYY-MM-DD -->
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## Signal
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<What you noticed — the raw observation from 2+ domains>
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## Insight
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<Why it matters — the connection, timing, or trajectory that makes this worth flagging>
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## Suggested Action
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<One concrete thing to do — specific, actionable, grounded>
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---
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Sources: [[file1]], [[file2]], [[file3]]
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## Scenario Candidate (optional)
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<!-- Only include if pattern projection reveals a genuine fork worth simulating -->
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Decision: <one-line framing>
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Why now: <why the window is closing>
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Domains: <affected domains>
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```
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Overwrite the file each run. One nudge per run.
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## Rules
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1. **Read-only** — Foresight NEVER edits memory files. Writes ONLY to `memory/cog-meta/foresight-nudge.md`. If you spot a memory error, note it in the nudge's signal section and let reflect handle it.
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2. **One nudge, not a list** — force prioritization. If everything is equally important, nothing is.
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3. **Evidence-based** — every nudge cites at least 2 source files. No vibes.
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4. **Non-obvious** — the nudge should surprise. If the user already knows and is acting on it, pick something else.
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5. **Forward-looking** — avoid rehashing yesterday. Project into next week, next month.
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6. **Cross-domain preferred** — nudges that connect personal + work are higher value than single-domain insights.
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## Anti-Patterns
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- Don't repeat what briefing-bridge already says (stale items, birthday prep) — that's housekeeping's job
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- Don't recommend "reflect on X" — be specific about what to DO
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- Don't flag things the user has explicitly deferred — respect the deferral
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- Don't flag things that are cruising — focus on convergences, stalls, and timing windows
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- Don't write a mini-briefing — one insight, one action
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## Activation
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Read broadly across all domains. Find the one thing worth saying.
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